Why France’s New Government Under PM Sébastien Lecornu Might Not Last Long

Why France’s New Government Under PM Sébastien Lecornu Might Not Last Long

With no parliamentary majority, rising opposition pressure, and mass protests, Lecornu’s fragile government faces a critical survival test just weeks after taking office.

Macron’s New PM Faces a Political Storm

France’s new Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu, appointed by President Emmanuel Macron, has officially named his government — but its future is already under threat.

Despite some continuity in key ministerial roles, Lecornu leads a minority government that lacks stable support in the National Assembly. Lawmakers on both the left and the far-right are already mobilizing to bring down the government via a no-confidence vote or force snap legislative elections.

“Lecornu’s top priority isn’t passing reform — it’s simply staying in office,” say analysts tracking the power struggle in Paris.

Cabinet Appointments: Stability or Stalemate?

On Sunday, Macron’s office unveiled the full cabinet lineup, which keeps many ministers from previous administrations in their positions:

  • Bruno Le Maire, former finance minister, is now defense minister, taking over from Lecornu
  • Bruno Retailleau remains interior minister, overseeing internal security and police forces
  • Jean-Noël Barrot continues as foreign minister
  • Gérald Darmanin retains control of the justice ministry
  • Roland Lescure is the new finance minister, tasked with addressing France’s deepening fiscal crisis

Le Maire’s return is seen as an effort to stabilize France’s defense leadership amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, as well as increasing pressure from Russia on European security.

Why Lecornu’s Government Might Collapse

The Lecornu-led government has already hit major turbulence. Without a majority in parliament, Lecornu is reliant on fragile negotiations with both the left-wing opposition and the far-right National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen.

Here’s what’s threatening Lecornu’s hold on power:

  • No-confidence vote: Left-wing lawmakers are organizing to bring the government down
  • Far-right push: Marine Le Pen’s party is demanding snap elections
  • Widespread protests: Activists and unions are staging national demonstrations against spending cuts
  • No majority: Macron’s alliance remains far from reaching a workable bloc in parliament

Fallout From Macron’s Gamble

The current chaos is rooted in Macron’s risky decision to dissolve the National Assembly in June 2024. His goal was to strengthen his pro-European centrist alliance through new elections. Instead, it backfired spectacularly.

The result? A fractured legislature with no dominant political bloc — a first in France’s modern political history.

“Macron’s gamble created more instability, not less,” said a French political commentator on BFMTV. “Now Lecornu has to govern a divided country with a divided parliament.”

France’s Economy in Crisis Mode

New finance minister Roland Lescure steps in at a time when France’s economic outlook is deteriorating:

  • National debt and deficits are rising
  • Investor confidence is shaky
  • Budget negotiations for 2026 are already tense

On Tuesday, Lecornu is expected to deliver a critical speech to the National Assembly, laying out the government’s plan — including how he aims to balance the budget without triggering further unrest.

Lecornu Rules Out Forcing Budget Through

Unlike his predecessors, Lecornu announced he will not invoke Article 49.3 of the French Constitution, which allows the government to pass a budget without a parliamentary vote.

Instead, he pledged to work toward cross-party compromise:

“The time of forced politics is over,” Lecornu said on Friday. “France needs unity, not escalation.”

However, whether the left and right will cooperate — or bring him down — remains to be seen.

Protests Add Pressure to an Already Fragile Government

Since Lecornu’s appointment, France has seen three consecutive days of nationwide protests, including:

  • Public sector workers opposing proposed spending cuts
  • Transport and education unions demanding more funding
  • A major protest that shut down the Eiffel Tower on Thursday

Public anger over proposed austerity measures is intensifying the political crisis, echoing past unrest that forced Macron to reshuffle his government repeatedly over the last year.

Summary: Why Lecornu’s Government May Not Survive

  • No stable majority in parliament
  • No-confidence vote on the horizon
  • Pressure from both left and far-right parties
  • Rising public protests over economic cuts
  • Major speech this week will determine his political fate

With France navigating international conflicts, economic strain, and domestic unrest, Lecornu’s ability to survive as Prime Minister may hinge on the compromises he can forge — or fail to deliver — in the coming days.